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macro
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Will Powell say "recession" at the March 2026 press conference?

Full market breakdown, pricing gap, confidence, rule interpretation, and evidence stacked in a command-center layout.

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Market Price

22%

Our Read

23%

Pricing Gap

+1.0 pts

Platform Update

7 months ago

Market Snapshot Overview

0 verified matches so far

Category Sector
macro
Resolution Target
Mar 14, 2026, 9:00 PM
Last System Check
7 months ago

Resolution Mechanics

Counts toward YES
Exact spoken use of the word recession by Powell
Transcript-confirmed mentions
Does not count
Reporter questions
Paraphrases or off-transcript summaries

Parser & Interpretation Rules

Rules are inferred from the public market question, description, and resolution source.

Use the linked Polymarket market page for final settlement wording.

System Metrics

Price Pressure22%
Model Conviction23%
Edge Intensity18%

Source Validation

FromMar 14, 2026, 6:00 PM
UntilMar 14, 2026, 9:00 PM
ZoneAmerica/New_York
AuthorityFederal Reserve press conference transcript

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Evidence Timeline Hidden

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